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Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
Monetary Matters with Jack Farley
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238 episodios

  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    How the Iran War Reshapes the Sovereign Debt Landscape | Sovereign Debt Expert Lupin Rahman

    27/03/2026 | 1 h 2 min
    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm

     

    Former Head of Sovereign Credit at PIMCO Lupin Rahman joins Jack to discuss sovereign debt and its peculiarities. She explains why its technicals can differ significantly from fundamentals, the growth of emerging market debt, and risks to consider when investing in these assets. Jack and Lupin also discuss the important conflict in the Middle East and what it means
    for markets across the world. As an expert in both sovereign debt and emerging markets, Lupin is an important voice to consider when assessing global fixed income markets. Recorded on March 16th, 2026.

     

    Lupin Rahman’s Book https://www.amazon.com

    Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96

    Follow
    Lupin Rahman on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/lupin-rahman/

     

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  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    Headline Indices Are Masking Market Stress | Liz Ann Sonders on the Case For Quality Stocks During An Oil Shock

    25/03/2026 | 1 h 8 min
    This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT): 

    https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm

    In this episode of Monetary Matters,  Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab’s Chief Investment Strategist, explains how 2026 presents an "analytically rich" environment where headline indices are currently masking significant underlying market stress. She notes that while the S&P 500 shows a modest drawdown, the average stock is seeing much steeper declines, reflecting a period of intense "rotation and churn" triggered by the war in Iran and a spike in oil prices. Sonders highlights a critical shift in investor behavior, where the previous year's preference for non-profitable speculative stocks has flip-flopped in favor of a "quality" factor centered on stable profitability and strong balance sheets. She draws parallels to the 1990 period, warning that the lack of alternate routes for oil through the Strait of Hormuz could lead to sustained economic demand destruction. Despite these geopolitical shocks, Sonders observes that forward earnings estimates for the tech and energy sectors remain surprisingly resilient, though she anticipates downward revisions as reporting season approaches. Ultimately, she reminds investors that in such a volatile cycle, "better or worse" as a leading indicator often matters more to the market than whether the data is objectively "good or bad". Recorded March 24, 2026.

    Pieces referenced:

    “Dire Strait: War's Impact on Stocks”: https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/dire-strait-wars-impact-on-stocks

    “Schwab Market Perspective”: 

    https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/stock-market-outlook

    “Smoke on the Water…Fire Under the Surface”: https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/smoke-on-waterfire-under-surface

    Follow Liz Ann Sonders on X https://x.com/LizAnnSondersFollow Liz Ann Sonders on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/lizannsonders/

    Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96

     Follow Monetary Matters on:

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    Investing involves risks, including the possible loss of principal. Because these ETFs rely on an AI-driven model, the strategy may not perform as intended. International and U.S investments may involve additional risks such as currency, political, or regulatory developments. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Funds before investing. The prospectus contains this and other important information and may be obtained by visiting www.pictet.com/etf. Read it carefully before investing. Distributed by Foreside Fund Services.
  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    “Not Until May” The Real Timeline for Controlling the Strait of Hormuz | Nadia Martin Wiggen Svelland Capital

    23/03/2026 | 47 min
    Learn more about Teucrium’s CORN ETF (CORN) here: https://teucrium.com/corn

    Nadia Martin Wiggen, Director at Svelland Capital joins Other People’s Money for a timely update on energy and shipping markets in light of the “5-day pause” Truth Social post that sent equity markets ripping higher and oil prices dipping lower. She explains why Svelland Capital believes May is the real timeline for controlling the Strait, how refining margins and refined product hoarding create a persistent bid for oil and gas, and how global energy supply chains have shifted with many ships sailing well outside of typical trade routes in their quest for alternative sources of oil. She also touches on how a protracted crisis would harm Asia, Australia, and emerging markets the most.

    Svelland Capital: https://www.svelland.com/

    Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe

    Follow Other People’s Money on:

    Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M

    Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi

    YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR

    X https://x.com/opmpod

    This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today. Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn

    This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the respective Fund Prospectus before investing.

    CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds, which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading, LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT. PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC.

    Timestamps:

    00:00 Intro

    00:46 Reaction to Trump Announcement and State of the Strait

    01:57 Strait Reality Check

    05:53 Oil Flows and Bottlenecks

    09:32 Asia Scrambles for Supply

    12:55 China Refined Export Ban

    14:01 Demand Destruction Thresholds

    15:05 Military Path to Reopen

    17:09 CORN Mid Roll

    18:46 New Oil Price Floor

    21:28 Broader Market Repricing

    25:06 Shipping Rates and Europe Pull

    27:33 Export Bans and Hoarding Spiral

    30:11 US Refining Edge and Australia

    34:37 LNG Shortfall and Europe Risk

    41:00 Long Term Diversification

    41:33 Trading Signals and Logistics

    45:16 Most Vulnerable Products
  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    A Fertilizer Crisis is Brewing (Quickly) | StoneX’s Josh Linville on How Iran War & Strait of Hormuz Closure Has Shut of Critical Fertilizer Chemical Feedstocks That Threaten Global Grain Supply

    22/03/2026 | 53 min
    Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN):

    https://teucrium.com/corn

    In this episode of Monetary Matters, StoneX Vice President Josh Linville explains how the Iran War and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have triggered a global fertilizer crisis that is currently crippling agricultural economics. With urea prices effectively doubling in just a few months, Josh warns that the market is facing a supply shock far more severe than the 2022 crisis because current grain prices aren't high enough to offset these surging input costs. The geopolitical bottleneck in the Persian Gulf has effectively sidelined three of the world's top ten urea exporters, removing enough nitrogen from the market to cover nearly the entire US corn crop. Beyond shipping delays, recent attacks on energy infrastructure in Qatar and Iran have caused structural damage that experts estimate could take three to five years to fully repair. This massive loss of production capacity, combined with a lack of global stockpiles, means the market must now find balance through aggressive demand destruction. Consequently, the price floor for critical fertilizers has likely been raised for the remainder of 2026, forcing farmers to make difficult choices about planting and yields. Join us as we explore the long-term implications for global food security and why the current "bleeding red" financial state of farming might lead to higher agricultural commodity prices. Recorded March 20, 2026.

    Follow Josh Linville https://www.stonex.com/en/market-experts/josh-linville/

    Josh Linville on X https://x.com/JLinvilleFert

    Josh Linville on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/joshua-linville-9555a711

    ______

    This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today. 

    Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs 

    CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn 

    This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn.

    Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results. 

    For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing. 

    CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT. 

    PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC. 

    Sources 

    • Fertilizer trade through Strait of Hormuz: International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global Fertilizer Trade Data; USDA  ERS, Fertilizer Use and Price reports. 

    • Corn as heaviest nitrogen user: USDA Economic Research Service, Fertilizer Use and Price (most recent edition). • Input cost / margin impact and acreage-switching scenarios: Framing is conditional and analytical; not presented as  projections. Consistent with FINRA 2210(d)(1) standards for educational market commentary. 

    • Fund structure: Teucrium Corn Fund Prospectus (most recent effective date). 

    Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC. 

    5324752
  • Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

    “This Is The End of The Oil Market As We Know It” | Rory Johnston on How $300 Oil Could Trigger Depression If De-Escalation Does Not Occur In Iran War

    19/03/2026 | 1 h 21 min
    20% discount to annual subscription to Rory Johnston’s Commodity Context: https://www.commoditycontext.com/monetarymatters

    In this urgent episode of Monetary Matters Today, Jack sits down with Rory Johnston of Commodity Context to break down the unprecedented global oil shock caused by the ongoing war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. With 20 million barrels of daily flow disrupted and 9 million barrels of confirmed production shut-ins across the Middle East, Johnston warns that the market is facing a supply loss multiple times larger than the 2022 Russian invasion fears. They explore the timeline of global impact, the looming threat of operational shutdowns for Asian refineries, and why Johnston believes political de-escalation by President Trump is the only way to avoid $200+ oil and a global economic depression. Recorded March 19, 2026.

    Pieces discussed: 

    Oil & Iran War Context Weekly (W11) (March 13 2026)

    https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/ocw11w26

    “No End in Sight,” March 12, 2026:

    https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/no-end-in-sight

    Oil and the Iran War Context Weekly (W10), March 6, 2026:

    https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/ocw10w26

    North American Oil Data Deck (March 4, 2026): 

    https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/north-american-oil-data-deck-march-2026

    “Strait to the Point on Iran (March 2, 2026)”: 

    https://www.commoditycontext.com/p/strait-to-the-point-on-iran

    Follow Rory Johnston on X: https://x.com/Rory_Johnston

    Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96

     Follow Monetary Matters on:

    Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh

    Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5

    YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

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