583 episodios
- Bad actors will use AI to disrupt the financial system, transportation networks, and utilities. We should prepare now for this inevitability. We share how in this episode. We also explain why the bull market in gold will likely continue.
Topics covered include:
Why the OpenAI agentic AI breach is so disturbing
How do we prepare for cyberattacks
Why gold should be one of the assets we hold apart from the financial system
How the historical relationship between gold and real interest rates has broken down
To what extent are central banks selling dollars to buy gold
How gold ETF flows influence the gold price
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Show Notes
Episode 564 Slide Deck with Charts
Gold's Run Isn't Yet Done - Bhanu Baweja - Financial Times
Brief independent investigation of agents’ behavior, reasoning and collaboration in the OpenAI / Hugging Face hacking incident
Are Central Banks Moving Out of Dollar Assets? - Linda S. Goldberg, Oliver Hannaoui, and Sneha Parthasarathy - Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Related Episodes
541: Debasement Fears or Meme Fever? What’s Driving the Gold and Silver Rally
563: Why Interest Rates Keep Rising and What to Do About It
See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info. - The national debt exceeds $40 trillion, U.S. long-term Treasury yields are at 19-year highs, the U.S. Treasury Department is intervening in currency and bond markets. We unpack it all in this episode and show you how to position your investment portfolio to lock in higher yields and protect yourself from falling bond prices.
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Show Notes
Episode 563 Slide Deck
Debt to the Penny - U.S. Treasury
Historical debt and budget tables - U.S. White House
Average U.S. national debt interest rate - U.S. Treasury
Treasury Announces Increased Sizes of Nominal Long-End Liquidity Support Buybacks Beginning September 9 - U.S Treasury
America’s Risky Debt: What Markets See That Policymakers Don’t - Hanno Lustig
Related Episodes
525: No More AAA – What the U.S. Debt Downgrade Means for Investors
463: How to Lock in Higher Yields
464: More Ways to Lock in Higher Yields
See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info. - What are the steps to simplify your portfolio, given that it is likely spread across multiple accounts? We focus particularly on retirees, who have to weigh additional considerations like withdrawals, Roth conversions, and required minimum distributions.
We also explore which areas of the stock and bond markets are attractive right now as you seek to simplify and/or rebalance your portfolio.
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Show Notes and Related Content
A Complete Guide to Investing in I Bonds and TIPS (2026)
550: Asset Location: Where You Invest, Where You Live, What You Can Access
Free Investment Strategy Report
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See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info. - We explore the expected size of AI-related debt, which vehicles hold it, what could go wrong, and how to protect yourself.
Topics covered include:
How AI capex boom compares to other large booms and busts
What fixed income vehicles hold AI-linked debt
What mechanisms are being used to transfer AI-debt risk.
How circular finance is contributing to the AI infrastructure buildout
What could go wrong with the AI infrastructure buildout that could lead to losses on AI-related debt
How to tell what exposure you have to AI debt
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Show Notes
AI debt slide deck used for episode
RBC Weighs $2 Billion Risk Transfer to Hedge Data Center-Linked Loans by Esteban Duarte and Paula Sambo—Bloomberg
Hyperscalers Tap External Financing as AI Capex Outruns Cash Flow—FactSet Insight
What History Tells Us About The AI Investment Boom by Larry Swedroe—Financial Advisor
Goldman Sachs Warns on AI’s Debt Tsunami — Is This the End of the AI Boom? by Rich Duprey—Yahoo! Finance
Progress and peril by Pablo Hernández de Cos—BIS
The Opportunities and Risks AI Presents for the Economy and Financial System by Governor Lisa D. Cook—The Federal Reserve
Financial Stability Report by The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System—The Federal Reserve
Financing the AI infrastructure boom: on- and off-balance sheet borrowing by Egemen Eren, Ingomar Krohn and Karamfil Todorov—BIS
How AI debt financing impacts duration supply and interest rates by Hugo De Vere, Srini Ramaswamy and Seth Searls—Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
US Life Insurers Held $807 Billion of Hard-to-Sell Credit by Alexandre Rajbhandari—Bloomberg
Insurers are funding AI infrastructure – NAIC wants to know if the ratings hold up by Paul Lucas—Insurance Business
US Corporate Bonds Statistics—sifma
See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info. - How inflation numbers are manipulated to appear lower. How to change your mindset about inflation to get ahead of it.
Topics covered include:
How Inflation (PCE) Calculations Are Changing
Why the CPE Changes Are Suspicious
The Biggest Changes Ever to Inflation Calculations
What Causes Inflation
AI Buildout Is Boosting Inflation
How Rising Income Can Overcome Inflation
Inflation Is Currency Debasement
Most Things Get Cheaper and Better Over Time
Personal Inflation Rate and Retirement
We Can Beat Inflation by Improving Our Skills
Inflation Manipulation vs Inflation Fabrication
How to Outsmart Inflation
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Show Notes
Preview of the 2026 Annual Update of the National Economic Accounts—BEA
The Inflation Outlook by Governor Stephen I. Miran—U.S. Federal Reserve
Toward A More Accurate Measure Of The Cost Of Living by The Advisory Commission To Study The Consumer Price Index —SSA
A Complete Guide to Understanding and Protecting Against Inflation by David Stein—Money for the Rest of Us
Live Retirement Portfolio Cohort—Money for the Rest of Us
Related Episodes
475: Inflation’s Illusion: Debunking the Normalcy of Currency Debasement
429: Which Inflation Protection Strategies Worked and Which Didn’t?
See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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A personal finance and investing podcast on money, how it works, how to invest it and how to live without worrying about it. J. David Stein is a former Chief Investment Strategist and money manager. For close to two decades, he has been teaching individuals and institutions how to invest and handle their finances in ways that are simple to understand. More info at moneyfortherestofus.com
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