Reuters Morning Bid

Markets are recovering from the CoreWeave selloff, but investors are still questioning the debt burden behind the AI boom. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh says hotter inflation hasn't changed his view of the economy, prompting markets to dial back rate-hike expectations. And Elon Musk unveils Tesla's flying Roadster, but the long-awaited vehicle won't arrive until 2028.

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Today’s recommended read: Europe's battery boom has a dirty secret by Martin Vladimirov

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Hotter-than-expected inflation revives debate over whether the Fed could raise rates this month. AI-linked stocks stumble as rising borrowing costs heap pressure on indebted companies like CoreWeave and Oracle. And oil markets remain on edge as traders weigh the impact of conflict in the Middle East and Ukraine's renewed attacks on Russian energy infrastructure.

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Today’s recommended read: AI investment boom may be papering over US economic cracks, Mike Dolan

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Investors await September inflation data that could show prices rising at nearly twice the Fed's target, testing whether policymakers can hold off on further rate hikes. Plus China's exports surge again, putting the country on course for another trillion-dollar trade surplus this year. And Wall Street's biggest banks reveal how rising bond yields are affecting their business.

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Today's recommended read: Why governments might secretly wish for an AI stumble, by Mike Dolan

Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠and check out his columns on⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Reuters Open Interest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.

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AI stocks slide ahead of earnings season as investors question how much further the chip rally can run. Meanwhile, the IMF lifts its global growth forecasts and points to the AI boom as a key driver of trade and growth. And major US banks open earnings season with bond losses, trading revenues and AI financing in focus.

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Today's recommended read: Europe gets the yuan rise it wants - just not the way it wanted Mike Dolan

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Produced by Abisoye Osundairo.

Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer.

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The Trump administration's weekend moves to ease diesel prices - including a waiver on Russian fuel imports and claims of an energy ceasefire in Ukraine - have confused allies and surprised Kyiv. Meanwhile, Houthi strikes on Riyadh airport intensify, the IMF kicks off its annual meetings in Bangkok, and US bank earnings season gets underway alongside a fresh inflation reading.

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Today's recommended read: Central banks face test. Will they be good cops or bond villains?, Mike Dolan

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Produced by Eliza Davis Beard.

Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer.

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