Nick Luck, Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi are back with the popular political betting show. With days to the UK local elections, they assess the markets, focusing particularly on Starmer's exit date in the face of renewed pressure post-Mandelson as well as his likely replacement, where Neil has a 20/1 recommendation. They look at trading positions in the most-seat markets through the prism of next week's likely outcomes, have another dig into Plaid's chances in the Senedd, and have a surprise 10/1 pick in an outer London mayoral contest.